The margin leasing goes directly to a sturdy rebound of American index number MLFI-25 of real economy
Reflect MLFI-25(month degree leasing and financial 25 index numbers) of American the margin leasing industry development is in this year's quarterly degree together compare increased 16.56%.Together compared to 25.21%ly increase to compare last year with whole yearses, the increasing of quarterly degree didn't calculate Gao this year.However the Feng value of business quantity the history data of MLFI-25 suggests, usually at the end of the year, so the increasing of this year still may have a better performance.Compare with GDP of the United States, this data seems to be astonishing.But return to 2009 annuities to melt a crisis violent, GDP the United States descends 2.5%, MLFI-25 of together compare a reduction then more than 30%.The research of margin leasing discovers that this is a profession regulation.The margin leasing has agreeable periodic, but its reaction range wants far motion range of being far larger than GDP.The reason is easy, margin leasing because have the characteristics of "melt a thing", can "go directly to" real economy, reflect the need of real economy most with alacrity, particularly is the need of equipments investment.Greatly fall big margin leasing the industry again present one in the crisis obvious of follow an economic period motion characteristics.MLFI-25 that searches American equipments leasing and margin association(Equipment Leasing and Finance Association, ELFA) announcement can obviously see this.MLFI-25 is the financial index sign of capital expenditure, business equipments finance that reflects the United States.Could see from the history data of MLFI-25, from 2008 financial crisis explosion in the world after,mens sunglasses the United States leases profession namely be subjected to biggest pound at.Sample MLFI-25 business enterprise 2007 the whole yearses add the business total amount as about USD 86,100,000,000 and compare about USD 82,200,000,000 in 2006 to increase 4.74%.Add a descending of amount of business speed beginning to speed in 2008.Up to December, 2008, the whole yearses add the business total amount as about USD 80,300,000,000 and have already reduced 6.74% a little bit in 2007.But arrived to add amount of business to it may be said sink in 2009.2009 whole yearses add the business total amount as about USD 54,500,000,000 and reduce to be close to USD 26,000,000,000 a little bit in 2008, the reduction is about 32.13%.Start coming out a crisis gradually along with global economy henceforth, steady settle down, the business quantity of 2010 starts a rally, the whole yearses add the business total amount as about USD 59,100,000,000 and increase 8.44% a little bit in 2009.2011 increases one abrupt however enlargement, the whole yearses add the amount of business as USD 74,000,000,000 and increase as 25.21%.Contrast the national economy circumstance of the United States, can see a financial crisis period, in increasing trend, MLFI-25 has very strong agreeable periodic.But, MLFI-25 the range of the motions all is far larger than national economy to always produce of motion range.Crisis 2009 behind, GDP year growth in the United States leads abrupt from 4.9% in 2007 however decline to-2.5%, MLFI-25 shows of whole year the new business increases to measure the fall as 32.13%;When the 2011 GDP year growth rate in the United States resumes into 1.7%, the new amount of business increases to reach to 25.21%.It still keep being optimistic in the circumstance of 2012 quarterly degree.MLFI-25 adds amount of business data to suggest, add business USD 5,100,000,000 in January and increase 21% laster year same period;Add business USD 5,000,000,000 in February, increased 22% laster year same period;Add business USD 6,800,000,000 in March, increased 10% laster year same period;Whole quarter degree the new business total amount increase the quantity as about USD 16,900,000,000 and have already compared USD 14,500,000,000 in last year same period to increase 16.56%.The profession regulation index numbers MLFI-25s reflected the universal reality of margin leasing industry.The agriculture silver leasing graduate division general manager Zhang Hai rather of a research express, world margin leasing the industry have more explicit of follow economic periodic:When economy increase good, finance stability margin leasing industry development power the head is good;Whereas, when economy increase to soon descend or decline, the margin leasing industry is subjected to the impact of showing the Zhao.At the same time, while being pounded at by economic motion margin leasing the industry trade the sum descend a little bit quickly;When economy recovery, the margin leases an industry rally the speed is opposite also quicker.In 1990 of economy motion in, margin leasing industry trade the sum be subjected to a to arrive impact for two years and all present a fast- resuming situation later on just each time.According to the data of international margin leasing yearbook, 1990-2007 years of in 18 years, world the margin leasing trade the sum increase into USD 780,400,000,000(now price U.S. dollar, bottom together) from USD 331,600,000,000, the year all reunites a growth to lead up to 4.87%.2002-2007 years in about five years, world the margin leasing trade the sum increase 69% on the foundation of USD 461,600,000,000, the year all reunites a growth rate to be up to 9.14%.From world margin leasing the industry was total to develop but talked, 90's in last century, the profession is placed in positive ascension passage in, in 2008 international financial crisis occurrence previous 5-6 the middle of the years, world margin leasing the industry be placed in more rapid in the development, the year all increases soon in above 9%.Take place in 2008 of global the financial crisis stopped halfway a margin leasing industry fast- developing progress.In 2008, at world GDP still has the circumstance of 2.83% growth under, world margin leasing trade the sum have already presented a fall and decline to USD 732,800,000,000, compare descended 6.10% last year.In 2009, GDP in the world descends 0.58%, world the margin lease the industry then experienced the most serious decline in profession history and traded a sum to descend to USD 557,300,000,000 and dropped 24.95 percentage points and fell into level in 2003-2004 years.Zhang Hai rather means that the angle that trades a sum from the realization, the equal to world profession development stayed back for five years.According to before financial crisis take place world margin leasing industry of the growth speed(all reunite a growth to lead above 9% for 2002-2007 years) measure calculate, Zhang Hai rather thinks, in 2008 world margin leasing industry trade the sum lose in above USD 110,000,000,000, 2009, trade sum loss in above USD 370,000,000,000.See from the bargain scale in 2009, the reduction is equal to in those early years world margin leasing the industry physically completed to trade 2/3 of sum, or equal to those early years the United States and seven flourishing national margin in Germany, Japan and France, Italy and England and Canada etc. leasing trade sum of total.But Zhang Hai rather means, the margin leasing industry is subjected to economic period motion influence, don't change the long term in the profession to stabilize an upward total development power head.From 1990-2007 years, the whole profession is total to present a wave of the type develop a little bit quickly of power head, encountered just in 2008-2009 years of global financial crisis bigger pound at."Go directly to" the real economy rises the fall degree phenomenon that is farer high than whole economy to the margin leasing industry, Zhang Hai rather thinks and needed to set out to treat this problem from attribute and characteristic of margin leasing industry oneself.Zhang Hai rather of research suggest, the margin leases industry's high sensitivity for economic economic prosperity and originate the profession and investment first demanding of the high relativity of high relativity and investment need and economic motion.Economy growth index sign reflection of contents and margin lease an industry development indicator difference very far, the economy increases index sign reflection consumption, investment, producing of the government procurement type that is different from clean exit etc. total, but margin leasing the owner want toLadies Ray Ban Sunglasses aim at of is to invest a realm need, and and other.At the same time, invest a need under the influence of economic economic prosperity degree and compare in order to show Zhao, with investment the need compare, consume need to economic economic prosperity of flexibility opposite smaller, government procurement then may have negative economic period attribute, the clean exit is subjected to offshore need, exchange rate various factor influence, such as policy and exit policy...etc., is as opposite smaller as the connection of local economic economic prosperity.On the other hand, Zhang Hai rather thinks, the margin leases the profession attribute of industry to come to a decision with the strong relativity of economic period.The margin leases the bargain sum of profession's concentration to add the equipments investment of production ability at machine material etc..When the economic growth undulates, the gross demand descends and add production ability is repressed, economy motion direct reflection at with add a directly related margin of productivity leasing industry trade sum up, the embodiment descends for trading a sum quickly;When the economy turns warm, to the need that adds a productivity immediately rapid rally, as a result the embodiment leases to trade a sum to quickly up for the margin.
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